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Home » Study identifies potential blood test to predict long-haul COVID lung problems

Study identifies potential blood test to predict long-haul COVID lung problems

UVA Health researchers have discovered a potential way to predict which patients with severe COVID-19 are likely to recover well and which are likely to suffer “long-haul” lung problems. That finding could help doctors better personalize treatments for individual patients.

UVA's new research also alleviates concerns that severe COVID-19 could trigger relentless, ongoing lung scarring akin to the known as , the researchers report. That type of continuing lung damage would mean that patients' ability to breathe would continue to worsen over time.

“We are excited to find that people with long-haul COVID have an immune system that is totally different from people who have lung scarring that doesn't stop,” said researcher Catherine A. Bonham, MD, a pulmonary and critical care expert who serves as scientific director of UVA Health's Interstitial Lung Disease Program. “This offers hope that even patients with the worst COVID do not have progressive scarring of the lung that leads to death.”

Long-haul COVID-19

Up to 30% of patients hospitalized with severe COVID-19 continue to suffer persistent symptoms months after recovering from the virus. Many of these patients develop lung scarring—some early on in their hospitalization and others within six months of their initial illness, prior research has found. Bonham and her collaborators wanted to understand better why this scarring occurs, to determine if it is similar to progressive pulmonary fibrosis and to see if there is a way to identify patients at risk.

To do this, the researchers followed 16 UVA Health patients who had survived severe COVID-19. Fourteen had been hospitalized and placed on a ventilator. All continued to have trouble breathing and suffered fatigue and abnormal lung function at their first outpatient checkup.

After six months, the researchers found that the patients could be divided into two groups: One group's lung health improved, prompting the researchers to label them “early resolvers,” while the other group, dubbed “late resolvers,” continued to suffer lung problems and pulmonary fibrosis.

Looking at blood samples taken before the patients' recovery began to diverge, the UVA team found that the late resolvers had significantly fewer immune cells, known as monocytes, circulating in their blood. These play a critical role in our ability to fend off disease, and the cells were abnormally depleted in patients who continued to suffer lung problems compared both to those who recovered and healthy control subjects.

Further, the decrease in monocytes correlated with the severity of the patients' ongoing symptoms. That suggests that doctors may be able to use a simple blood test to identify patients likely to become long-haulers—and to improve their care.

“About half of the patients we examined still had lingering, bothersome symptoms and abnormal tests after six months,” Bonham said. “We were able to detect differences in their blood from the first visit, with fewer blood monocytes mapping to lower lung function.”

Source: University of Virginia