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Recalibrated polygenic risk scores improve disease risk pediction in diverse populations

To prevent an emerging genomic technology from contributing to health disparities, a scientific team has devised new ways to improve a method called a polygenic risk score. Since polygenic risk scores have not been effective for all populations, the researchers recalibrated these tests using ancestrally diverse genomic data.

As reported in Nature Medicine, the optimized tests provide a more accurate assessment of disease risk across diverse populations.

Genetic tests look at the small differences between individuals' , known as genomic variants, and polygenic risk scores are tools for assessing many genomic variants across the genome to determine a person's risk for disease. As the use of polygenic risk scores grows, one major concern is that the genomic datasets used to calculate the scores often heavily over-represent people of European ancestry.

“Recently, more and more studies incorporate multi-ancestry genomic data into the development of polygenic risk scores,” said Niall Lennon, Ph.D., a scientist at the Broad Institute in Cambridge, Massachusetts and first author of the publication. “However, there are still gaps in genetic ancestral representation in many scores that have been developed to date.”

These “gaps” or can cause false results, where a person could be at high risk for a disease but not receive a high-risk score because their genomic variants are not represented. Although health disparities often stem from systemic discrimination, not genetics, these false results are a way that inequitable genetic tools can exacerbate existing health disparities.

In the new study, the researchers improved existing polygenic risk scores using health records and ancestrally diverse genomic data from the “All of Us Research Program,” an initiative to collect health data from over a million people from .

The “All of Us” dataset represented about three times as many individuals of non-European ancestry compared to other major datasets previously used for calculating polygenic risk scores. It also included eight times as many individuals with ancestry spanning two or more global populations. Strong representation of these individuals is key as they are more likely than other groups to receive misleading results from polygenic risk scores.

The researchers selected polygenic risk scores for 10 common health conditions, including , prostate , , coronary heart disease, asthma and diabetes. Polygenic risk scores are particularly useful for assessing risk for conditions that result from a combination of several genetic factors, as is the case for the 10 conditions selected. Many of these health conditions are also associated with health disparities.

The researchers assembled ancestrally diverse cohorts from the “All of Us” data, including individuals with and without each disease. The genomic variants represented in these cohorts allowed the researchers to recalibrate the polygenic risk scores for individuals of non-European ancestry.

With the optimized scores, the researchers analyzed disease risk for an ancestrally diverse group of 2,500 individuals. About one in five participants were found to be at high risk for at least one of the 10 diseases.

Source: NIH/National Human Genome Research Institute

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